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	<title>Skepticblog &#187; Michael Shermer</title>
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	<link>http://skepticblog.org</link>
	<description>The official blog of the Skeptologists</description>
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		<title>The Free Exercise of Stupidity   Dr. Laura, the Ground Zero Mosque, and the 1st Amendment </title>
		<link>http://skepticblog.org/2010/08/24/the-free-exercise-of-stupidity/</link>
		<comments>http://skepticblog.org/2010/08/24/the-free-exercise-of-stupidity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Aug 2010 09:00:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Shermer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[First Amendment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free speech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ground Zero Mosque]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[law]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[right to assemble]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=9705</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Recently, two of the biggest media story brouhahas were Dr. Laura’s N-word gaff and the Ground Zero mosque, both of which commentators insist are First Amendment issues. They are not. Here’s why. First, let’s review the First… Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Recently, two of the biggest media story brouhahas were Dr. Laura’s N-word gaff and the Ground Zero mosque, both of which commentators insist are First Amendment issues. They are not. Here’s why. First, let’s review the First…</p>
<blockquote><p>Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.</p></blockquote>
<p>(Most people forget that there are actually five freedoms protected in the First Amendment: religion, speech, press, assembly, petition.)<span id="more-9705"></span></p>
<p>Laura Schlessinger says that she is quitting her job as the biggest female radio show host in the galaxy because, she told Larry King: “I want to regain my First Amendment rights. I want to be able to say what is on my mind.” Sarah Palin chimed in on Twitter that Schlessinger’s First Amendment rights “ceased 2exist thx 2activists trying 2silence her.”</p>
<p>Wrong. The First Amendment applies only to what the government can and cannot do. No government agency is demanding that Dr. Laura step down. No laws are being passed to silence radio talk show hosts (at least not yet—recall last year’s cultural scuffle over whether liberals should be given equal time on all radio shows, including conservative talk radio). This is not a First Amendment issue in the least. Dr. Laura is free to exercise her First Amendment rights to say what is on her mind, including her stupefyingly ignorant opinion that blacks are being hypersensitive when called the N-word by whites. In turn, blacks, whites, and anyone else not from another planet are free to remind Dr. Laura what has transpired over the past half century here on Earth since she’s been away on Mars. </p>
<p>The Ground Zero Mosque issue is equally clearly not a First Amendment issue because, near as I can figure, it is not being built on government land, it is not being funded by tax-payers dollars, and it is not a public building. To that extent, it’s none of the government’s business what the owners and financers of the building want to do with their private property, so they are free to build a mosque near Ground Zero (it’s two blocks away, by the way, not “at” Ground Zero), and by the 4th right of the First Amendment, people are free to peacefully assemble to remind said private land holders and building builders what happened in that neighborhood a scant nine years ago next month.</p>
<p>The government is not—and never should be—in the business of regulating stupidity or making laws respecting the free exercise thereof.</p>
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		<title>Was Jesus a Conservative or a Liberal?</title>
		<link>http://skepticblog.org/2010/08/17/was-jesus-conservative-or-liberal/</link>
		<comments>http://skepticblog.org/2010/08/17/was-jesus-conservative-or-liberal/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Aug 2010 09:00:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Shermer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jesus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=9605</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The ancient art of cherry picking passages from the Bible to support this or that argument has found new life in recent decades as conservatives claim Jesus as their political ally and in the past year with the Tea Party movement invoking Christ’s conservativism. What Would Jesus Do? (WWJD?) has morphed into Who Would Jesus [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The ancient art of cherry picking passages from the Bible to support this or that argument has found new life in recent decades as conservatives claim Jesus as their political ally and in the past year with the Tea Party movement invoking Christ’s conservativism. What Would Jesus Do? (WWJD?) has morphed into Who Would Jesus Vote For? (WWJVF?) Was Jesus a conservative? I don’t think so, but the entire enterprise of politicizing historical figures with modern labels is fraught with fallacy.</p>
<p>Employing modern political terms such as “liberal” and “conservative” to someone who live 2,000 years ago is an absurd game to play because those terms as they are used today do not even apply to people who lived a scant few centuries ago. The original meaning of “liberal,” for example, was what we would today call a “classical liberal,” or someone who believes in laissez faire capitalism and small government. Followers of Adam Smith were liberals, but today are called classical liberals, or conservatives, because they want to conserve the political and economic principles of classical Enlightenment thought. Those who are vehemently opposed to these conservative principles are sometimes today called progressives, who want to progress beyond—instead of conserving—classical liberalism, and their type specimen is Franklin D. Roosevelt, who originally had the support of pro-laissez faire capitalists until he launched the New Deal. One of FDR’s ideological descendents was Bill Clinton, who turned out to be one of the strongest Democratic proponents of free markets in history, which makes him, what? A conservatively classical progressive liberal? You can see how odious such label making becomes even for modern figures.<span id="more-9605"></span></p>
<p>Jesus was, for the most part, apolitical. There were a number of political factions in his time, yet there is no evidence that he joined or even endorsed any of them. He emphasized the “Kingdom of God” over the kingdom of man, and heaven over earth, and his central message was to love God and to love one another. When Jesus was asked, “Teacher, which is the great commandment in the Law?” he replied, “You shall love the Lord your God with all your heart and with all your soul and with all your mind. This is the great and first commandment. And a second is like it: You shall love your neighbor as yourself. On these two commandments depend all the Law and the Prophets.” (Matthew 22:34–40). In the next chapter in Matthew (23:9–12) Jesus punctuated the point by comparing earthly fathers to the heavenly father: “And call no man your father on earth, for you have one Father, who is in heaven. Neither be called instructors, for you have one instructor, the Christ. The greatest among you shall be your servant. Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, and whoever humbles himself will be exalted.”</p>
<p>Lacking clear political leanings we have to examine the moral teachings of Jesus to see if they more closely fit the moral principles of liberals or conservatives. As I read the record, Jesus sounds like a liberal when he admonishes us to turn the other cheek and practice forgiveness, not to judge lest ye be judged, to show great compassion for the poor, and especially when he admonishes the money changers and tells his followers to give up their belongings, abandon their families, and follow his religious movement. Remember, it was Jesus who said, “it is easier for a camel to go through the eye of a needle than for a rich man to enter the kingdom of God.”</p>
<p>And let’s not forget the Beatitudes from the sermon on the mount (Matthew 5: 3-9), which do more closely echo the sentiments of liberals instead of conservatives:</p>
<p>“Blessed are the poor in spirit, for theirs is the kingdom of heaven.”<br />
“Blessed are those who mourn, for they shall be comforted.”<br />
“Blessed are the meek, for they shall inherit the earth.”<br />
“Blessed are those who hunger and thirst for righteousness, for they shall be satisfied.”<br />
“Blessed are the merciful, for they shall receive mercy.”<br />
“Blessed are the pure in heart, for they shall see God.”<br />
“Blessed are the peacemakers, for they shall be called sons of God.”</p>
<p>Matthew 7: 1–5 is the classic statement of liberal tolerance:</p>
<blockquote><p>Judge not, that ye be not judged. For with what judgment ye judge, ye shall be judged: and with what measure ye mete, it shall be measured to you again. And why beholdest thou the mote that is in thy brother’s eye, but considerest not the beam that is in thine own eye? Or how wilt thou say to thy brother, Let me pull out the mote out of thine eye; and, behold, a beam is in thine own eye? Thou hypocrite, first cast out the beam out of thine own eye; and then shalt thou see clearly to cast out the mote out of thy brother’s eye.</p></blockquote>
<p>Indeed, would any red-blooded, gun-totting, Hummer-driving, hard-drinking, Bible-totting conservative today saying anything like this? (Matthes 5:43-44): “You have heard that it was said, ‘You shall love your neighbor and hate your enemy.’ But I say to you, Love your enemies and pray for those who persecute you….”</p>
<p>Even on the current hot-button issue driving the Tea Party train—taxes—when asked if it was proper to pay taxes, Jesus famously said (Matthew 22:21): “Render therefore unto Caesar the things which are Caesar’s; and unto God the things that are God’s.”</p>
<p>Of course, I’m cherry picking passages myself here, but I found the process much more conducive to fitting Jesus into left-leaning politics than into the right. I suppose the following passage from the Messiah (Matthew 5:27-30) might be construed as Jesus’s expression of conservative values, but I’m not sure anyone in their right mind would endorse such a moral principle:</p>
<blockquote><p>You have heard that it was said to those of old, ‘You shall not commit adultery.’ But I say to you that whoever looks at a woman to lust for her has already committed adultery with her in his heart. If your right eye causes you to sin, pluck it out and cast it from you; for it is more profitable for you that one of your members perish, than for your whole body to be cast into hell. And if your right hand causes you to sin, cut it off and cast it from you; for it is more profitable for you that one of your members perish, than for your whole body to be cast into hell.</p></blockquote>
<p>Speaking of the 7th commandment, I found one <a href="http://searchwarp.com/swa380626.htm" rel="nofollow">webpage</a> dedicated to this matter of the Messiah’s politics in which the author wrote:</p>
<blockquote><p>At times, Jesus blended His Liberal and Conservative sides in perfect balance. One example was when He asked the woman accused of adultery, “Where are your accusers? Has no one condemned you?”, and the woman answered, “No one, Lord.” Jesus told her, “Neither do I condemn you; from now on, sin no more.” The Liberal Jesus did not condemn the woman, but the Conservative Jesus called her behavior “sin”, which she needed to stop.</p></blockquote>
<p>So … are we to infer from this interpretation that liberals would not call adultery a sin that should be avoided, and if committed need not be stopped? All married liberals reading this column raise your hands if you think an act of adultery on the part of your spouse is acceptable. That’s what I thought. In point of fact, adultery is a sin because it deeply injures a loved one, it breaks the bonds of trust so essential to the deepest of all human relations, and it leads to the breakdown of families. And you don’t need the Bible to understand this simple fact. Adultery as a sin is an evolved characteristic of our species.</p>
<p>We evolved as pair-bonded primates for whom monogamy, or at least serial monogamy (a sequence of monogamous marriages), is the norm. Adultery is a violation of a monogamous relationship and there is copious scientific data (and loads of anecdotal examples) showing how destructive adulterous behavior is to a monogamous relationship. In fact, one of the reasons that serial monogamy (and not just monogamy) best describes the mating behavior of our species is that adultery typically destroys a relationship, forcing couples to split up and start over with someone new. Thus, adultery is immoral because of its destructive consequences no matter what God or the patriarchs said about it. And evolutionary theory provides a deeper reason for adultery’s immoral nature that is transcendent because it belongs to the species. If there is a God, and if He does condemn adultery as an immoral act, it is because evolution made it immoral.</p>
<p>This post originally appeared at <a href="http://trueslant.com/michaelshermer/2010/07/29/was-jesus-a-conservative-or-a-liberal/">TRUE/SLANT</a>.</p>
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		<title>The Passion of Saint Mel (Gibson that is)</title>
		<link>http://skepticblog.org/2010/08/03/the-passion-of-saint-mel/</link>
		<comments>http://skepticblog.org/2010/08/03/the-passion-of-saint-mel/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Aug 2010 09:00:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Shermer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[anti-Semitism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christianity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[denial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Holocaust]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revisionsim]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=9356</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To understand the lunatic rantings of Mel Gibson you need know only a few core characters of the man, starting with his first name, which comes from Saint Mel (or Moel), a fifth-century Irish saint who worked to evangelize Ireland in the name of the Papacy. Saint Mel is the patron saint of the Roman [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/Mel-240x300.jpg" alt="photo" title="Mel Gibson" width="240" height="300" class="alignright size-full wp-image-9359" /></p>
<p>To understand the lunatic rantings of Mel Gibson you need know only a few core characters of the man, starting with his first name, which comes from Saint Mel (or Moel), a fifth-century Irish saint who worked to evangelize Ireland in the name of the Papacy. Saint Mel is the patron saint of the Roman Catholic diocese of Ardagh, where Mel Gibson’s mother came of religious age.</p>
<p>The young (modern) Mel was brought up by his Traditionalist Catholic father, Hutton Gibson, where the doctrine of “<em>Extra Ecclesiam nulla salus” (“Outside the Church there is no salvation</em>”) was preached. Of course, what constitutes “the church” determines the circumference of the salvation circle, with religious liberals opting for those who accept Jesus as their savior as eligible for salvation, while religious fundamentalists, literalists, and apparently traditionalists holding to the strict dogma that if you are not Catholic you are not saved. Here is what Mel Gibson once said about his own (apparently long-suffering) wife Robyn, who is an Episcopalian: “There is no salvation for those outside the Church … I believe it. Put it this way. My wife is a saint. She’s a much better person than I am. Honestly. She’s… Episcopalian, Church of England. She prays, she believes in God, she knows Jesus, she believes in that stuff. And it’s just not fair if she doesn’t make it, she’s better than I am. But that is a pronouncement from the chair. I go with it.” The Chair. That’s refreshing. Here’s a bumper sticker for Saint Mel’s car: <em>The Pope Said it, I believe it, That Settles it.</em><span id="more-9356"></span></p>
<div id="attachment_9360" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 250px"><a href="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/hutton.jpg"><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/hutton.jpg" alt="photo" title="Hutton Gibson" width="240" height="283" class="size-full wp-image-9360" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Portrait of Mel Gibson&#8217;s Father, Hutton Gibson. Photograph by Kylie Melinda Smith, <em>Sun Herald</em></p></div>
<p>The intolerance of this dogma cannot be overstated, but to be fair the Papacy is merely channeling the gospel, in this case John 14:5-6: “Thomas said to him, ‘Lord, we do not know where you are going. How can we know the way?’ Jesus said to him, ‘I am the way, and the truth, and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me.’” And this means what for the Jews?</p>
<p>Speaking of the blood libel against the Jews, Saint Mel’s filmic opus, <em>The Passion of the Christ</em>, was one long argument (amplified with copious blood and raw flesh) for the justification of two millennia of anti-Semitism: the Jews killed our Lord. In point of fact it was the Romans who killed Jesus who, let’s not forget, was Jewish, so if the Jews were the perpetrators this would only mean that Jesus was killed by his own clan. (Do people really need to be reminded that before Christ there was no Christianity and there were no Christians? Apparently so.) And in any case, if the life of Jesus had to unfold as it did in order for him to transmogrify into the Christ (the Messiah)—which we are told had to happen for the atonement of original sin that would otherwise condemn all of us to eternity without God—then shouldn’t Christians be thanking the Jews for doing what, after all, they had to do? In any case, here is what the best extra-biblical source, the Roman historian Tacitus, said about it in chapter 15 of his <em>Annals of Imperial Rome</em>:</p>
<div id="attachment_9361" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/Passion-300x186.jpg" alt="" title="Passion of the Christ film still" width="300" height="186" class="size-full wp-image-9361" /><p class="wp-caption-text">film still from <em>The Passion of the Christ</em></p></div>
<blockquote><p>Their originator, Christ, had been executed in Tiberius’ reign by the governor of Judea, Pontius Pilatus. But in spite of this temporary setback the deadly superstition had broken out afresh, not only in Judea (where the mischief had started), but even in Rome. All degraded and shameful practices collect and flourish in the capitol.</p></blockquote>
<p><em>Skeptic</em> magazine’s religion editor, Tim Callahan, concludes:</p>
<blockquote><p>Here Tacitus, showing the same antagonism for Christianity evidenced in the Talmudic writers, says that it was temporarily checked when Pontius Pilate—not the Jewish authorities—executed Jesus. In summation, the trial before Ciaphas, the Barabbas episode, the reluctance of Pilate to condemn Jesus, and the Jewish mob demanding his death are, like every other aspect of the Passion and Resurrection narratives, pure fiction. The bare bones of the historical core of what is essentially grand myth is that Jesus was put to death by the Romans—not the Jews—for sedition.</p></blockquote>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/Revisionism-150x150.jpg" alt="photo" title="books on table" width="150" height="150" class="alignright size-full wp-image-9362" /></p>
<p>Anti-Semitism has roots running deep, and Mel’s go back to his father. Although today we do not hold to the moral precept that the son should suffer for the sins of the father, the Ten Commandments insists otherwise: “<em>I. Thou shalt have no other gods before me. II. Thou shalt not make unto thee any graven image, or any likeness of any thing that is in heaven above, or that is in the earth beneath, or that is in the water under the earth. III. Thou shalt not bow down thyself to them, nor serve them: for I the LORD thy God am a jealous God, visiting the iniquity of the fathers upon the children unto the third and fourth generation of them that hate me.</em>” Unfortunately for Mel, who claims to believe in all of the good book’s moral principles, his father had lots of doubts about the Holocaust but few doubts about the nefarious actions of the Learned Elders of Zion. Christopher Hitchens has read the Old Man’s anti-Semitic screeds, noting this gem from Hutton’s self-published book <em>The Enemy is Still Here</em> (the sequel to <em>The Enemy is Here</em>, just in case you didn’t get it the first time): “Our ‘civilization’ tolerates open sodomy and condones murder of the unborn, but shrinks in horror from burning incorrigible heretics—essentially a charitable act.” When Pope John Paul II said of the Jews in a conciliatory outreach across the theological divide, “You are our predilect brothers and, in a certain way, one could say our oldest brothers,” Gibson Senior penned this rejoinder: “Abel had an older brother.” Was he suggesting siblicide writ large?</p>
<p>This brings us to the Holocaust, which deniers publicly deny ever happened while privately wishing that it had (as in “Hitler didn’t implement the Holocaust but he should have”). Mel Gibson’s flirtations with Holocaust “revisionism” also stem from the Patriarch Hutton, who expressed his skepticism in a March, 2003 <em>New York Times</em> magazine article as to how the Nazis could have logistically exterminated six million Jews. “Go and ask an undertaker or the guy who operates the crematorium what it takes to get rid of a dead body. It takes one liter of petrol and 20 minutes. Now, six million?” From where did the six million figure come? “The entire catastrophe was manufactured” in a deal between Hitler and “financiers” to move Jews out of the Reich. Hitler “had this deal where he was supposed to make it rough on them so they would all get out and migrate to Israel because they needed people there to fight the Arabs.” Hutton’s wife added parenthetically: “There weren’t even that many Jews in all of Europe.” Hutton punctuated the point: “Anyway, there were more after the war than before.”</p>
<p>Here is what actually happened. In the 1930s the Nazis did try to get rid of the Jews by eliminating their civil liberties, then banning them from professions, then confiscating their property, then rounding them up into ghettos, then locking them up in concentration camps. In the early and successful (for the Nazis) years of the Second World War, the Third Reich grew in size with each territorial conquest, which meant that the number of Jews grew, along with the measures the Nazis were willing to take to reach their ultimate goal, which by 1942 had morphed from elimination to extermination.</p>
<p>To this combustionable cocktail of wrong-headed ideas and evil intent, add three more characteristics to bring Saint Mel into full light: a hot head temper with a hair trigger mouth and a propensity to drink.</p>
<p><em>This post originally appeared at</em> <a href="http://trueslant.com/michaelshermer/2010/07/21/the-passion-of-saint-mel-gibson-that-is/">TRUE/SLANT.</a></p>
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		<title>My Dinner (and Drinks) with Christopher  (Hitchens that is)</title>
		<link>http://skepticblog.org/2010/07/20/dinner-with-christopher-hitchens/</link>
		<comments>http://skepticblog.org/2010/07/20/dinner-with-christopher-hitchens/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Jul 2010 09:00:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Shermer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christopher Hitchens]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=9107</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The conjunction of reading Christopher Hitchens’ new memoir, Hitch 22, and the news of his treatment for esophageal cancer, reminded me that I should share my (admittedly limited) experiences of dining (and drinking) with one of the greatest literary masters and creative thinkers of our age. First, I’m half way through listening to the unabridged [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0446540331?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=skepticcom-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=390957&amp;creativeASIN=0446540331"><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/HITCH-22-cover.jpg" alt="HITCH 22 (book cover)" title="Order the book from Amazon.com" width="200" height="301" class="alignright size-full wp-image-9108" /></a></p>
<p>The conjunction of reading Christopher Hitchens’ new memoir, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0446540331?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=skepticcom-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=390957&amp;creativeASIN=0446540331"><em>Hitch 22</em></a>, and the news of his treatment for esophageal cancer, reminded me that I should share my (admittedly limited) experiences of dining (and drinking) with one of the greatest literary masters and creative thinkers of our age.</p>
<p>First, I’m half way through listening to the unabridged <a href="http://www.audible.com/adbl/site/products/ProductDetail.jsp?productID=BK_HACH_000453&#038;BV_UseBVCookie=Yes">audio book of <em>Hitch 22</em></a>, which I wholeheartedly recommend because Christopher reads it himself in that inimitable classically-educated British accent with his style of flowing quiet narrative punctuated with occasional bursts of accented emphasis. In other words, Hitchens sort of mumbles modestly along, then suddenly his voice rises into crystal clarity when he wants you to get the point hard and fast. <em>Hitch 22</em> is a literary masterpiece, an absolute joy to listen to. I’ll leave it to his literary/politico peers to critique the ideas within (see, for example, the latest issue of <em>The New York Review of Books</em> with Ian Buruma’s review, as well as David Horowitz’s insightful analysis of Hitchens’ evolving political beliefs.<span id="more-9107"></span></p>
<p>Although I’m a self-professed libertarian (fiscally conservative and socially liberal), I’m really not much of a politico or social commentator, especially when it comes to foreign affairs, about which I am woefully ignorant compared to Hitchens’ vast database he has accumulated throughout his many travels abroad. So I’m just enjoying the ride listening to Christopher’s many amusing stories. (One funny anecdote is when Hitchens explained that in an early writing job for a publication, his editor said something to him that, as he explained it, made it simply impossible for him to continue employment there. It turned out that the editor told him “you’re fired.”)</p>
<p>My intersection with Hitchens is through our mutual concern about the influence of religion on science. Hitchens, of course, has many other worries about the effects of religious beliefs on political, economic, and social conditions around the world (particularly the Middle East), but he was kind and generous enough to provide a back-jacket blurb for my book, <em>Why Darwin Matters</em> (<a href="http://www.skeptic.com/productlink/b111HB">$10 hardcovers at Shop Skeptic</a>), and noted in his letter to me that contained said blurb that he had found a couple of minor errors in the book, adding parenthetically (in case I missed it) that this meant that he did, indeed, actually read the book. (In the book publishing business it is common practice for authors who are friends and colleagues to blurb each other’s books, and sometimes I suspect this means that the blurb was generated based on a cursory scan of the manuscript. To his credit and energy—considering how many blurb requests he must receive—Christopher really did read the entire manuscript.</p>
<p>I first met Christopher in Hollywood in 1997 at a preview showing of the film <em>FairyTale: A True Story</em>, starring Harvey Keitel as Harry Houdini and Peter O’Toole as Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, which recounted the story of the two giants’ intersection over the fake fairy photographs that Doyle fell for and Houdini did not. Hitch and I had dinner (well lubricated with adult beverages) before the preview, and although I was a bit distressed at the ending of the film that implied that fairies may actually be real (after showing that Doyle was duped), I rather enjoyed the film. Christopher’s review in <em>Vanity Fair</em>, which included a thoughtful and much appreciated endorsement of the Skeptics Society and <a href="http://www.skeptic.com/the_magazine/">Skeptic</a> magazine, was much deeper and more insightful than anything I thought of during the viewing. Even though I’m a professional skeptic, for some reason when I watch a film I willing suspend disbelief in order to enjoy the process, and this sometimes interferes with my critical thought processes.</p>
<p>A decade later, in 2007, as I was meandering through the sensory overloaded Las Vegas airport on my way to The Amazing Meeting 5 and Freedom Fest, both conferences at which Hitchens and I were speaking, we encountered each other in search of our respective limo drivers, so we ended up sharing a ride to the hotel. Checking in early (it was around 11:00 am) our rooms were not yet ready, so Hitch suggested that we put the time to good use at the bar. Before. Noon. So there we were, my nursing a Corona with lime for as long as I could socially get away with it while Hitchens ordered a Johnny Walker Black, a red wine, and a bottle of water to mix with JWB in what appeared to be a well-choreographed routine. A couple of rounds later Hitch seemed completely unfazed, while my empty-stomach imbibing on that single beer left me feeling less than adequate to keep up with the conversation. (Hey, when you drink with a professional come prepared. I didn’t have the training miles I’m afraid.) When the bill came I had the singular honor of buying Christopher Hitchens’ drinks because (1) his wallet was in his baggage with the bellman, and (2) the room keys were not yet activated to put it on his room. I didn’t mind a bit—blurb reciprocity and all that, you know.</p>
<p>After hammering down two rounds of the Hitch Mix, Christopher was nearly (but not quite) ready for his noon-time luncheon speech, so he ordered a third round to go. At the podium where Hitch stood, before him were a glass of whiskey, a red wine, and a bottle of water. (Just as we cyclists always ride with water bottles filled with fluid replacement drinks, Christopher apparently never speaks without his Hitch Mix to top off his energy needs.) I can’t for the life of me remember what his speech was about (politics I’m sure) but I recall that Hitchens was extemporaneous, clever, and worldly.</p>
<p>That night the host of Freedom Fest, Mark Skousen, invited Christopher and myself to join a group of Big Thinkers at an exclusive (and quite expensive I’m sure) dinner at one of the posher restaurants in Las Vegas (no prices on the menu is all you need to know). Even though everyone at the table was someone of some import and standing, it was clear throughout the evening that Hitch was Sol and we were his orbiting planets gathering up the warmth of his verbal rays. He told stories—lots and lots of stories—about his travels, his encounters with names we would all surely know, and especially about his ideological battles with this and that ideologue. Other people’s comments were, for the most part, stimulants for another Hitch story. I can see why some people might find that this rubs them the wrong way, but for some reason—at least for me—that was how it should have been. If you invite Christopher Hitchens to your dinner, expect to be entertained, and the more the waiter poured expensive wine, the more histrionic Hitchens became, until four hours and who-knows-how-many-drinks later I detected a slight slowing of his verbal and cognitive skills…so there are limits after all.</p>
<p>The next time I saw Hitch was at a party in Washington D.C., when I was touring for the release of my book, <em>The Mind of the Market</em> (<a href="http://www.skeptic.com/productlink/b126HB">$8.95 hardcovers at Shop Skeptic</a>). Reason magazine kindly arranged for a book party at a bar and restaurant that was so crowded and so loud that it was physically uncomfortable. After an obligatory drink and a few stories to entertain the troops, Hitchens leaned in and said “Michael, why don’t we retire to a restaurant down the street where they know me?” Exiting the cacophony, we walked a few blocks to what turned out to be one of Hitches’s regular haunts. “The usual place, Mr. Hitchens?” the maitre’d inquired. We were escorted to a quite corner of the restaurant, where Hitch positioned himself to be able to scan the room, and soon we were joined by his wife and an occasional passerby who recognized him and dropped in for a story (and drink) or two.</p>
<p>Shortly after the waiter took our drink orders (“the usual?” was all Hitch needed to hear, to which he nodded affirmatively), the Hitch Mix was on the table, followed by a fabulous dinner and, of course, lots of stories, none of which were repeated from my previous dinner (at least that I could remember—I too imbibed). After a couple hours at the restaurant, Hitch invited me to his home not far from the restaurant, where I was treated to a visual delight: mountains of books, oceans of books, a sea of books—pick your geographical metaphor. As the recipient myself of bound galleys and newly published volumes sent to <em>Skeptic</em> magazine for review, I know how quickly a mass accumulates on my desk that then migrates to the floor and eventually peaks above the desk again. But these are just science books. As a literary polymath Hitch receives books for review from virtually every category in the Dewey Decimal System. And he actually seems to read the books he reviews.</p>
<p>But the library is not where we adjourned for the evening. It wasn’t long before I found myself at a rectangular table in the dining room chockablock full of whiskey bottles from around the world. I’m not a whiskey connoisseur so I couldn’t tell you the brand names, but even a teetotaler like me could tell from the labels and bottle designs that here was a collection of the very best whiskeys that money can buy from all over the world, and I suspect that Hitch didn’t have to buy many of them, since such gifts seem to naturally flow his way. So I sampled and sipped and sauced my way into a late-night bliss that I paid for dearly the next day. I think I had an interview for an early morning television show, but I honestly don’t remember because I barely recall even having a next day.</p>
<p>Was it worth it? I once had an opportunity to ride my bike 50 miles on a fundraising event next to the great Belgian champion Eddy Merckx, considered the greatest cyclist of all time. I was so nervous about crashing and taking him down that I just concentrated on the bumper in front of us that we were drafting behind at 30 miles per hour. But just the experience of riding side by side with one of the greatest athletes to ever grace the planet was enough for me. That’s how I felt drinking and dining and delighting in the presence of Christopher Hitchens.</p>
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		<title>Nash Equilibrium, the Omerta Rule,  and Doping in Cycling</title>
		<link>http://skepticblog.org/2010/07/13/doping-in-cycling/</link>
		<comments>http://skepticblog.org/2010/07/13/doping-in-cycling/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jul 2010 09:00:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Shermer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science and medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[doping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drugs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nash Equilibrium]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Omerta rule]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[steroids]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=9060</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Tour de France is underway and it is already shaping up to be one of the grandest and most epic races in the event&#8217;s century-long history. If you haven&#8217;t seen a stage yet be sure to tune into the Versus Network that covers it every day, with repeat airings all day and evening. Lance [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B0013A05VU?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=skepticcom-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=390957&amp;creativeASIN=B0013A05VU"><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/positively-false-cover.jpg" alt="" title="Order the book from Amazon.com" width="200" height="297" class="alignleft size-full wp-image-9067" /></a></p>
<p>The Tour de France is underway and it is already shaping up to be one of the grandest and most epic races in the event&#8217;s century-long history. If you haven&#8217;t seen a stage yet be sure to tune into the Versus Network that covers it every day, with repeat airings all day and evening. Lance is still in contention even after several crashes. In fact, I&#8217;ve never seen so many crashes in a Tour before. This event is so hard it is not surprising that, as usual, allegations and suspicions of doping have surrounded the race even before it began. Unfortunately, it appears that doping has long been a part of this &#8212; and many other &#8212; sports. Here is my explanation for why athletes in general and cyclists (my sport) in particular dope, why race organizations have such a hard time enforcing the rules, and what can be done about it.</p>
<p>In criminal organizations such as the Cosa Nostra in 19th century Sicily and the Mafia in 20th century southern Italy, the &#8220;omerta rule&#8221; is the code of silence, a tacit agreement among cohort members that the collective violation of the law means if you get caught you keep your mouth shut and under no circumstances cooperate with the authorities. The penalty for an omerta betrayal is ultimate and final &#8212; death.<span id="more-9060"></span></p>
<p>Something like the omerta rule operates in the dark and dirty underbelly of doping in sports, or the employment of performance enhancing drugs (PEDs) against the rules (and in some cases the law), in which a positive test leads to an obligatory statement of shock and denial by the guilty party, followed by a plausible explanation for how the drug mysteriously appeared in the blood or urine, ending in fines paid and/or time served and eventual return to the sport, no names named and no further questions asked.</p>
<p>After testing positive for steroids following his 2006 Tour de France victory, Floyd Landis obeyed the omerta rule, albeit in grander style than most, publishing a bestselling book, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B0013A05VU?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=skepticcom-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=390957&amp;creativeASIN=B0013A05VU"><em>Positively False: The Real Story of How I Won the Tour de France</em></a>, raising upwards of $600,000 for a legal defense fund, and taking his case to sports arbitration. The three-time Tour de France champion Greg LeMond told me in a phone conversation during the arbitration trial that Landis consulted him about what to do next, at which point LeMond encouraged him to come clean. &#8220;What would I gain doing that?,&#8221; LeMond recalled Landis saying. &#8220;You would clear your conscience and help save cycling,&#8221; LeMond replied.</p>
<p>Three years later Landis has apparently decided to take LeMond&#8217;s advice, confessing during the recent Tour of California that the &#8220;real story&#8221; of how he &#8212; and Lance Armstrong &#8212; won the Tour de France is drugs, lots and lots of PEDs: recombinant Erythropoietin (r-EPO) to artificially stimulate the production of oxygen carrying red blood cells, steroids and human growth hormone for recovery and the development of lean muscle mass, and blood boosting, or withdrawing your own blood early in the season and then re-injecting it during the Tour de France to boost red blood cell count with your own blood (thereby sidestepping the test for EPO while gaining a comparable advantage). In published emails Landis defiantly slapped the omerta rule across the face, naming names and providing details:</p>
<p>&#8220;I was instructed on how to use Testosterone patches by [Team Director] Johan Bruyneel&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Mr Armstrong was not witness to the [blood] extraction but he and I had lengthy discussions about it on our training rides during which time he also explained to me the evolution of EPO testing and how transfusions were now necessary due to the inconvenience of the new test.&#8221;</p>
<p>Armstrong &#8220;tested positive for EPO at which point he and Mr Bruyneel flew to the UCI headquarters and made a financial agreement with Mr. Vrubrugen to keep the positive test hidden.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;During that Tour de France I personally witnessed George Hincapie, Lance Armstrong, Chechu Rubiera, and myself receiving blood transfusions. Also during that Tour de France the team doctor would give my room mate, George Hincapie and I a small syringe of olive oil in which was disolved andriol, a form of ingestible testosterone on two out of three nights throughout the duration.&#8221;</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a good thing for Landis that the penalty for an omerta rule violation in sports is not what it is in the Mafia, or else he&#8217;d be the Luca Brasi of cycling and sleeping with the fishes. Why did Landis break the code of silence? The answer to this question, along with the larger question of why athletes dope, comes from game theory and something called <em>Nash equilibrium</em>, discovered by the Nobel Prize-winning mathematician John Nash (of <em>Beautiful Mind</em> fame), in which two or more players in a contest reach an equilibrium where neither one has anything to gain by unilaterally changing strategies. If each player has selected a tactic such that no player can benefit by changing tactics while the other players hold to their plans, then that particular arrangement of strategy choices is said to have reached a point of equilibrium.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s how it works in sports. The point of an athletic contest is to win, and players will do whatever they can to achieve victory, which is why well-defined and strictly enforced rules are the <em>sine qua non</em> of all sports. The rules clearly prohibit the use of PEDs, but because the drugs are extremely effective and the payoffs for success are so high, and because most of the drugs are difficult if not impossible to detect, or the tests can be beat with countermeasures, or the governing body of the sport itself doesn&#8217;t fully support a comprehensive anti-doping testing program (as in the case of Major League Baseball and the National Football League), the incentive to dope is powerful. Once a few elite athletes in a sport defect to gain an advantage over their competitors, they too must defect (even if they only <em>think</em> others are doping), leading to a cascade of defection down through the ranks.</p>
<p>If everyone is doping there is equilibrium if and only if everyone has something to lose by violating the tacit omerta agreement. Disequilibriums can arise when not everyone is doping, or when the drug testers begin to catch up with the drug takers, or when some cheaters have nothing to lose and possibly something to gain by turning state&#8217;s evidence.</p>
<p>Which brings us back to Floyd Landis and Lance Armstrong, who for a decade have been in a state of relative Nash equilibrium. But when Landis lost his savings, his home, his marriage, and his livelihood, he reached a state of disequilibrium, and when he was turned down from even riding in the Tour of California after, according to Armstrong, making threats to the race organizers to let him in &#8220;or else,&#8221; he apparently decided to make good on his threat.</p>
<p>There is nothing more important for a sporting organization to do than to enforce the rules. If you don&#8217;t, athletes will cheat. Anyone who believes otherwise does not understand sports or human nature. As Landis explained in his confessional: &#8220;I don&#8217;t feel guilty at all about having doped. I did what I did because that&#8217;s what we [cyclists] did and it was a choice I had to make after 10 years or 12 years of hard work to get there, and that was a decision I had to make to make the next step. My choices were, do it and see if I can win, or don&#8217;t do it and I tell people I just don&#8217;t want to do that, and I decided to do it.&#8221;</p>
<h4>Solutions</h4>
<p>The only hope of salvaging professional sports is to change the game matrix. To that end I have five recommendations:</p>
<ol>
<li> Immunity for all athletes pre-2010. Since the entire system is corrupt and most competitors have been doping, it accomplishes nothing to strip the winner of his title after the fact when it is almost certain that the runners&#8217; up were also doping. Immunity will enable retired athletes to work with governing bodies and anti-doping agencies for improving the anti-doping system.</li>
<li> Increase the number of competitors tested, in competition, out-of-competition, and especially immediately before or after a race to prevent counter-measures from being employed. Sport sanctioning bodies should create a baseline biological profile on each athlete before the season begins to allow for proper comparison of unusual spikes in performance in competition.</li>
<li> An X-Prize type reward to increase the incentive of anti-doping scientists to develop new tests for presently undetectable doping agents, in order to equalize the incentive for drug testers to that of drug takers.</li>
<li> Increase substantially the penalty for getting caught. A 50-game ban on Manny Ramirez last year was a joke. No Major League player will take that seriously as a deterrent. Professional cycling has a two-year ban, which is a good start. But it&#8217;s not enough.</li>
<li> A return of all salary paid and prize monies earned by the convicted athlete to the team and/or its sponsors and investors, and extensive team testing of their own athletes.</li>
</ol>
<p>Cycling is ahead of all other sports in implementing these and other preventative measures, and still some doping goes on, so vigilance is the watchword for fairness along with freedom.</p>
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		<title>‘I didn’t know the mic was on’: Public Talk v. Private Talk</title>
		<link>http://skepticblog.org/2010/06/29/public-talk-versus-private-talk/</link>
		<comments>http://skepticblog.org/2010/06/29/public-talk-versus-private-talk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Jun 2010 09:00:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Shermer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[journalism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=8800</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The recent flap over the inopportune comments by General Stanley McChrystal and his staff in the presence of and even directly to a Rolling Stone magazine journalist, and the ensuing hue and cry “off with their heads” for what amounts to something akin to alcohol-fueled barroom B.S.ing and locker-room boys-will-be-boys jock talk, affords an opportunity [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The recent flap over the inopportune comments by General Stanley McChrystal and his staff in the presence of and even directly to a <em>Rolling Stone</em> magazine journalist, and the ensuing hue and cry “off with their heads” for what amounts to something akin to alcohol-fueled barroom B.S.ing and locker-room boys-will-be-boys jock talk, affords an opportunity to distinguish between public talk and private talk.</p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/alg_obama_mcchrystal_talking.jpg" alt="(Credit Image: © Pete Souza/The White House/ZUMApress.com)" title="Obama and McChrystal talking" width="275" height="206" class="alignright size-full wp-image-8806" /></p>
<p>Private talk is what we say in private to our spouses, family, friends, and colleagues when there is a presumption of privacy such that one’s comments will not go public. Public talk is what we say when we want to make a formal statement or declaration with the intention of and responsibility for what was said. Too often we confuse these two very different forms of expression. Everyone is treating the private talk of McChrystal and his staff as if it were intended for public consumption. It is almost as if McChrystal had held a press conference and issued a formal public statement that Joe Biden’s new name is “bite me.” Surely we should recognize the vast gulf that exists between these two types of talk, and no one would want to insist that all private talk be held as if there were a microphone in the room that was on and broadcasting. Locker rooms and barrooms would go deadly silent.<span id="more-8800"></span></p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/Carly-Fiorina.jpg" alt="photo" title="Carly Fiorina" width="275" height="210" class="alignright size-full wp-image-8807" /></p>
<p>Something similar happened to California Senatorial candidate Carly Fiorina the day of the primary election, when she was caught mocking the hair of her rival Sen. Barbara Boxer when she thought that her microphone was off, continuing with her private talk about Fox’s Sean Hannity and the cheeseburgers she wished she had eaten the night before.</p>
<p>And let’s not forget last year’s “climategate” flap in which the public discovered that scientists—shock of all shocks—are people who in private talk like everyone else, making fun of colleagues they don’t like, dissing rivals and competitors, and speaking colloquially as if they were not scientists investigating one of the most politically charged scientific issues of the past century—anthropogenic global warming.</p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/climategate_bunk.jpg" alt="screenshot" title="Fox News web screenshot" width="275" height="371" class="alignright size-full wp-image-8808" /></p>
<p>On the other hand, if you are a General in charge of executing a war, a Senatorial candidate with aspirations of being one of the handful of people who can actually influence public policy, or a scientist who data and theory could alter entire economies for decades or even centuries, your private talk is not the same as that of everyone else’s. McChrystal knew he was talking to a <em>Rolling Stone</em> reporter, so as the head of hundreds of thousands of combat troops under the ultimate direction of the Commander-in-Chief at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave., he should have been able to filter out his private talk. Ditto Carly Fiorina who, if she wins the Senate seat of a state whose economy rivals that of most countries, is bound to sit before microphones on almost a daily basis, so if she cannot discriminate between public and private talk now, had damn well better learn the difference. Likewise scientists whose opinions on climate change are used by politicians and policy makers worldwide to shape the direction of economic reform, have an obligation to presume that much of their private talk will be used publicly against them (and their recommendations) by those who disagree.</p>
<p>In other words, if you are in a position of power and influence, assume that the microphone is on.</p>
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		<title>The Pattern Behind Self Deception</title>
		<link>http://skepticblog.org/2010/06/15/the-pattern-behind-self-deception/</link>
		<comments>http://skepticblog.org/2010/06/15/the-pattern-behind-self-deception/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jun 2010 09:00:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Shermer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[science and medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[abduction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aliens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[belief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cognition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dowsing rod]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[neuroscience]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[supernatural]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[survival]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weird things]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=8607</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last week I blogged about lying: “Everyone Lies: Why?” Deception is one thing, self deception is quite another. This week TED.com has posted my new TED talk, delivered at the last TED conference, in which I present material from my forthcoming book on the neuroscience of belief, tentatively entitled The Believing Brain, a central theme [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last week <a href="http://trueslant.com/michaelshermer/wp-admin/post.php?action=edit&#038;post=398">I blogged</a> about lying: “Everyone Lies: Why?” </p>
<p>Deception is one thing, self deception is quite another. This week TED.com has posted my new TED talk, delivered at the last TED conference, in which I present material from my forthcoming book on the neuroscience of belief, tentatively entitled <em>The Believing Brain</em>, a central theme of which is how we are so easily deceived and how we deceive ourselves. Here is a brief summary of the thesis of the talk, although because it is so visual I strongly recommend watching the TED video.</p>
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<p><span id="more-8607"></span>Souls, spirits, ghosts, gods, demons, angels, aliens, intelligent designers, government conspiracists, and all manner of invisible agents with power and intention are believed to haunt our world and control our lives. Why?</p>
<p>The answer has two parts, starting with the concept of <a href="http://www.michaelshermer.com/2008/12/patternicity/"><em>patternicity</em></a>, which I define as the human tendency to find meaningful patterns in meaningless noise. The face on Mars, the Virgin Mary on a grilled-cheese sandwich, Satanic messages in rock music. Of course, some patterns are real: finding predictive patterns in changing weather, fruiting trees, migrating prey animals and hungry predators was central to the survival of Paleolithic hominids. </p>
<p>The problem is that we did not evolve a baloney-detection device in our brains to discriminate between true and false patterns. So we make two types of errors: a Type I error, or false positive, is believing a pattern is real when it is not; a Type II error, or false negative, is not believing a pattern is real when it is. If you believe that the rustle in the grass is a dangerous predator when it is just the wind (a Type I error), you are more likely to survive than if you believe that the rustle in the grass is just the wind when it is a dangerous predator (a Type II error). Since the cost of making a Type I error is less than the cost of making a Type II error, and since there’s no time for careful deliberation between patternicities in the split-second world predator-prey interactions, natural selection would have favored those animals most likely to assume that all patterns are real. </p>
<p>But we do something other animals do not do. As large-brained hominids with a developed cortex and a “theory of mind”—the capacity to be aware of such mental states as desires and intentions in both ourselves and others—we practice what I call <em><a href="http://www.michaelshermer.com/2009/06/agenticity/">agenticity</a></em>: the tendency to believe that the world is controlled by invisible intentional agents. That is, we often infuse the patterns we find with agency, and believe that these intentional agents control the world, sometimes invisibly from the top down (as opposed to bottom-up causal randomness). Together, patternicity and agenticity form the cognitive basis of shamanism, paganism, animism, polytheism, monotheism, and all modes of Old and New Age spiritualisms. </p>
<p>Agenticity carries us far beyond the spirit world. The Intelligent Designer is said to be an invisible agent who created life from the top down. Aliens are often portrayed as powerful beings coming down from on high to warn us of our impending self-destruction. Conspiracy theories predictably include hidden agents at work behind the scenes, puppet-masters pulling political and economic strings as we dance to the tune of the Bildebergers, the Rothchilds, the Rockefellers or the Illuminati. </p>
<p>There is now substantial evidence from cognitive neuroscience that humans readily find patterns and impart agency to them, well documented in the University of Bristol psychologist Bruce Hood’s new book <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B002VPE7GK?ie=UTF8&#38;tag=skepticcom-20&#38;linkCode=as2&#38;camp=1789&#38;creative=390957&#38;creativeASIN=B002VPE7GK">SuperSense</a> (HarperOne, 2009). Examples: Children believe that the sun can think and follows them around and they often add smiley faces on sketched suns. Adults typically refuse to wear a mass murderer’s sweater, believing that “evil” is a supernatural force that imparts its negative agency to the wearer (and, alternatively, that donning Mr. Rogers’ cardigan will make you a better person). A third of transplant patients believe that the donor’s personality is transplanted with the organ. Genital-shaped foods (bananas, oysters) are often believed to enhance sexual potency. Subjects watching geometric shapes with eyespots interacting on a computer screen infer that they represent agents with moral intentions.</p>
<p>“Many highly educated and intelligent individuals experience a powerful sense that there are patterns, forces, energies, and entities operating in the world,” Hood explains. “More importantly, such experiences are not substantiated by a body of reliable evidence, which is why they are <em>super</em>natural and unscientific. The inclination or sense that they may be real is our supersense.” </p>
<p>We are natural-born supernaturalists.</p>
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		<title>Tony Blair’s Answer</title>
		<link>http://skepticblog.org/2010/06/01/ideas-over-arms/</link>
		<comments>http://skepticblog.org/2010/06/01/ideas-over-arms/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jun 2010 09:00:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Shermer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[belief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tony Blair]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=8431</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Force of Ideas Over the Force of Arms Last week I attended the Khosla Ventures summit at Cavello Point in Sausalito, California, an ex-army base converted to a posh resort, where the venture capitalist (he calls himself a “venture assistant”) Vinod Khosla brings together start-up CEOs and their venture backers who are together innovating [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h4>The Force of Ideas Over the Force of Arms</h4>
<div id="attachment_8439" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 160px"><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/IMG_1198-150x150.jpg" alt="" title="Michael Shermer and Tony Blair" width="150" height="150" class="size-full wp-image-8439" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Shermer and Tony Blair</p></div>
<p>
	Last week I attended the Khosla Ventures summit at Cavello Point in Sausalito, California, an ex-army base converted to a posh resort, where the venture capitalist (he calls himself a “venture assistant”) Vinod Khosla brings together start-up CEOs and their venture backers who are together innovating new science and technologies for alternative and environmentally efficient energy sources. Vinod heard my TED talk in Long Beach in February 2010 (to be posted at TED.com in June) and invited me to explain why people believe weird things about money (“The Mind of the Market”, based on my book of the same title). Vinod hosted a fireside chat with Bill Gates and Tony Blair, and in the Q &amp; A I raised my hand and asked Tony a question. By way of background… <span id="more-8431"></span>
</p>
<p>
	Since I am in the business of spreading good ideas and debunking bad ideas, I ask this question all the time of a diverse range of people, in search of different answers to this difficult question. I believe in the power of ideas to free people and empower them—a fundamental principle that was born of the Enlightenment—but I also recognize that not everyone shares this belief, and since one of those Enlightenment principles is the freedom to disagree and the right to think and believe whatever you want as long as it does not interfere with my rights, then we can’t force people to embrace these Enlightenment values. On the other hand, we are tribal and we still live in a world with walls that are guarded by men with guns, and there are other tribes who would just as well terminate our existence or replace our Constitutional liberties with theocratic rule, we need a strong military. Thus my question for Tony Blair, and his eloquent and insightful answer:
</p>
<p>
	Michael Shermer: “How can we spread liberal democracy, market capitalism, science, technology, education, the Internet, etc. globally, when there are people who are still essentially living in theocracies who, as you said, would just assume see us dead, who don’t believe in the education of women and children, who don’t believe in civil liberties and equal treatment under the law, etc., and how can we do so non-militarily? That is, how do we spread these ideas without imposing them on other people?”
</p>
<p>
	Tony Blair: “It’s one of the great myths perpetrated in our own societies is that somehow people who live in oppressive or backward looking governments actually prefer it that way and that we just don’t understand their culture. You will often hear this in certain countries about the role of women when it is usually men talking about it, but any time you get the opportunity to talk to any women in those countries separated from those who might overhear them, believe it or not they tell you that they would prefer to be free and equal.”
</p>
<p>
	“We have allies in this fight who are the people, most of whom want change. The thing is, however, you need the security means to stand up when you are confronted to answer back, and if you don’t you will get rolled over by them and there’s no use in thinking any different. However, the ultimate answer is not the force of arms but the force of ideas.”
</p>
<p>
	“I think the 20<sup>th</sup> century was the century of fundamentalist political ideology, but the 21<sup>st</sup> century is going to be about religious or cultural ideology. The single most important thing we can do is also to provide a basis for peaceful co-existence. The best way of defeating these ideas is with better ideas. The better idea that we have in our way of life is not just about freedom and democracy, although I think those are important elements, it’s also about a basic concept of justice—the basic idea that anyone, no matter what their background, will get a chance to succeed.”</p>
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		<title>The Rules of Capitalism, Part 3</title>
		<link>http://skepticblog.org/2010/05/18/the-rules-of-capitalism-part-3/</link>
		<comments>http://skepticblog.org/2010/05/18/the-rules-of-capitalism-part-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 May 2010 09:00:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Shermer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ethics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[law]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=8140</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Liberty and The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance. This is the third essay in a series on the relationship between rules, freedom, and prosperity. Read part 1 on Skepticblog.org and part 2 over at True/Slant. I believe that the following commentary on the necessity of law and order has some bearing on what is unfolding [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h4>Liberty and The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance.</h4>
<p class="note">
	<em>This is the third essay in a series on the relationship between rules, freedom, and prosperity. <br /> Read <a href="http://skepticblog.org/2010/05/04/good-rules-make-good-capitalists/">part 1 on Skepticblog.org</a> and <a href="http://trueslant.com/michaelshermer/2010/04/27/the-constitution-of-man-dictates-the-constitutions-of-men-part-2-of-the-rules-of-capitalism-series/">part 2 over at True/Slant</a></em>.
</p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/immigration_protest1-300x216.jpg" alt="photo" title="immigration protest" width="300" height="216" class="alignleft size-full wp-image-8145" /></p>
<p>
	I believe that the following commentary on the necessity of law and order has some bearing on what is unfolding in Arizona—when the rules are not clearly written or consistently enforced, people will take the law into their own hands because society cannot run smoothly without law and order.
</p>
<p>
	In Part 3 in my essay series on the relationship between rules, freedom, and prosperity, I want to turn to one of my favorite films, John Ford’s 1962 classic, <a href="http://click.linksynergy.com/fs-bin/stat?id=NPWZsaxViDE&#38;offerid=146261&#38;type=3&#38;subid=0&#38;tmpid=1826&#38;RD_PARM1=http%253A%252F%252Fitunes.apple.com%252FWebObjects%252FMZStore.woa%252Fwa%252FviewMovie%253Fid%253D291728205%2526s%253D143441%2526uo%253D6%2526partnerId%253D30" title="Rent it from the iTunes Store"><em>The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance</em></a>, in which a clash of moralities unfolds in the wild-west frontier town of Shinbone, Arizona. There in the dusty streets and ramshackle buildings two self-contained and self-consistent moral codes come into conflict. One moral code is the <em>Cowboy Ethic</em>, where trust is established through courage, loyalty, and personal allegiance to friends and family, and where disputes are settled and justice is served between individuals who have taken the law into their own hands. The other moral code is the Law Ethic, where trust is established through the transparent and mutually-agreed upon rule of law, and where disputes are settled and justice is served between all members of the society who, by virtue of living there, have tacitly agreed to obey the rules. Only one of these moral codes can prevail. <span id="more-8140"></span>
</p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/manwhoshotspecialed-212x300.jpg" alt="poster" title="poster" width="212" height="300" class="alignright size-full wp-image-8146" /></p>
<p>
	In <em>The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance</em>, the Cowboy Ethic is represented by two people, one good and the other evil. John Wayne’s character, Tom Doniphon, is a fiercely loyal and deeply honest gunslinger duty-bound to enforce justice on his own terms through the power of his presence backed by the gun on his hip. Lee Marvin’s title character, Liberty Valance, is a coarse and unkempt highwayman whose unruly behavior provokes fights with the locals, most of whom fear and loathe him.
</p>
<p>
	The Law Ethic is represented by Jimmy Stewart’s character, Ransom Stoddard, an attorney hell bent on seeing his beloved Shinbone make the transition from cowboy justice to the rule of law. Employing the commonly-used flashback technique, John Ford opens his film at the end of the story with the funeral of Tom Doniphon, which is attended by an elderly Stoddard swamped by reporters inquiring why the now-distinguished U.S. Senator would bother returning to his native town just to be present at the memorial services of a down-and-out gunfighter.
</p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/A0000200-300x202.jpg" alt="" title="film still" width="300" height="202" class="alignleft size-full wp-image-8150" /></p>
<p>
	When they were younger and coming of age in this western territory just slightly out of reach of the long arm of the law, Stoddard and Doniphon were of radically different minds when it came to how justice should be served, each believing that the other’s strategy is either outdated (Doniphon’s gun) or naïve (Stoddard’s law). Despite this difference, or perhaps because of it, they become faithful friends, both believing that in the end justice must prevail. When Liberty Valance arrives on the scene it is clear that he respects only one man, Tom Doniphon, because they share the Cowboy Ethic that men settle their disputes honorably between themselves. As Doniphon boasted, “Liberty Valance is the toughest man south of the Picketwire—next to me.” But Valance’s disdain for the milksop Stoddard and his naïve notions about the effectiveness of the law knows no bounds. Entering a restaurant where Stoddard is dining, for example, Valance berates him, taunts him, and finally trips the waiter, sending Stoddard’s dinner to the floor. As Stoddard meekly tries to avoid a confrontation, Doniphon enters and stares down Valance, who snaps back, “you lookin’ for trouble, Doniphon?” In his inimitable John Wayne drawl, Doniphon responds, “You aimin’ to help me find some?” Valance caves to Doniphon’s challenge and scurries out of the restaurant. “Well now; what do you supposed caused him to leave?” Doniphon wonders rhetorically. The sardonic response from a patron in reference to the impotency of Stoddard’s philosophy reveals which ethic is still dominant: “Why it was the specter of law and order rising from the gravy and the mashed potatoes.”
</p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/liberty-valance-marvin.jpg" alt="" title="film still" width="252" height="275" class="alignright size-full wp-image-8152" /></p>
<p>
	Despite Valance’s constant taunting, Stoddard holds to his belief that until Valance is caught doing something illegal there can be no justice. When Doniphon tells Stoddard “You better start pack’n a handgun,” Stoddard rejoins, “I don’t want to kill him. I just want to put him in jail.” At long last, however, Stoddard can take the derision no more, so he decides to take Doniphon’s advice that “out here a man settles his own problems,” and turns to him for gun-fighting lessons. When Valance challenges Stoddard to a dual, the overconfident naïf accepts and a late-night showdown ensues. In a darkened street, the two men square off. Stoddard is trembling in fear while Valance mocks and scorns him, shooting first too high and then too low. When Valance takes aim to kill, Stoddard shakily draws his weapon and discharges it. Valance collapses in a heap. Having felled one of the toughest guns in the west Stoddard goes on to become a local hero, building that image into political capital and working his way up from local politics to a distinguished career as a United States Senator. It appears that the Law Ethic prevailed over the Cowboy Ethic.
</p>
<p>
	Not so fast. The man who shot Liberty Valance was Tom Doniphon. Knowing that Stoddard was no match for Valance, in a replay of the dual we see Doniphon lurking in the shadows and fingering a rifle, which he engaged to kill Valance at the crucially-timed moment when the two men drew their weapons. Holding to the cowboy ethic of loyalty and friendship, Doniphon takes the secret to his grave, where at the end of the story Stoddard is now paying his respect. When Stoddard finally reveals to a newspaper reporter the truth about who really shot Liberty Valance, the paper decides not to print the truth because, in what has become one of the most memorable lines in filmic history, “When the legend becomes fact, print the legend.”
</p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/manwho-300x161.jpg" alt="" title="film still" width="300" height="161" class="alignleft size-full wp-image-8154" /></p>
<p>
	Despite this being a typical shoot-em-up western film, The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance contains many moral subtleties. The philosopher Patrick Grim, who called my attention to the film as a tale of moral conflict, notes that both Stoddard and Doniphon violated their principles, but they did so because this was the only means by which one moral code could displace the other. By agreeing to a dual with Valance, Stoddard adopted a form of conflict resolution that he previously deemed illegal and immoral, and after discovering the truth about who really shot Liberty Valance, he chose to live a lie of omission then capitalized on his unearned heroism. For his part, Doniphon violated his moral code by ambushing Valance from the shadows instead of facing him man to man in the street, and then hiding the truth about what really happened, thereby tacitly endorsing Stoddard’s faux use of the Cowboy Ethic in order to help bring about the Law Ethic. In fact, both men violated both codes of morality, and with ample irony the only person who did not violate his moral code was the scurrilous Liberty Valance. But in the end, as Shinbone grew in size the transition from one moral code to the other had to happen, and in this moral homily it was friendship and loyalty that facilitated the change. It was the psychology of trust between individuals that enabled a society of trust among the collective to come to fruition.
</p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/mwslvtruestory-300x162.jpg" alt="" title="film still" width="300" height="162" class="alignright size-full wp-image-8156" /></p>
<p>
	<em>The fictional Shinbone embodies any small community in transition from an informal to a formal moral code and system of justice. As long as population numbers are low and everyone in a community is either related to one another or knows one another through regular interactions, the code of the cowboy can work relatively well to keep the peace and ensure trust and social stability. But when communities expand and population numbers increase, the opportunities for unchecked violations of such informal codes expands exponentially, requiring the creation of such social technologies as codes, courts, and constitutions. </em>
</p>
<p class="note" style="margin-bottom: 30px;">
	<em>Continue reading <a href="http://trueslant.com/michaelshermer/2010/05/11/law-order-bottom-up-or-top-down-the-rules-of-capitalism-part-4/">part 4 over at True/Slant</a></em>.</p>
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		<title>Good Rules Make Good Capitalists, Part 1</title>
		<link>http://skepticblog.org/2010/05/04/good-rules-make-good-capitalists/</link>
		<comments>http://skepticblog.org/2010/05/04/good-rules-make-good-capitalists/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 May 2010 09:00:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Shermer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[regulations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rules]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[societies]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://skepticblog.org/?p=7953</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As the SEC prepares its case against Goldman Sachs for allegedly intentionally defrauding the public with toxic securities that it created, sold, then bet against, I want to reflect for a moment on the need for rules in a free market society. Critics of capitalism believe that we libertarians want an essentially lawless society in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_7954" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://commons.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:NYC_NYSE.jpg"><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/300px-NYC_NYSE.jpg" alt="" title="NYSE photo" width="300" height="352" class="size-full wp-image-7954" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">image via Wikipedia</p></div>
<p>
	As the SEC prepares its case against Goldman Sachs for allegedly intentionally defrauding the public with toxic securities that it created, sold, then bet against, I want to reflect for a moment on the need for rules in a free market society. Critics of capitalism believe that we libertarians want an essentially lawless society in which people are free to do whatever they want. That may be true for some libertarians, but I have come to believe through experience and science that free markets operate best within a system of clearly defined and strictly enforced rules and laws. Within the system itself markets should be as free as possible and people should be free to trade with whomever they want without interference from the state (think Chinese citizens trading ideas about democracy with each other and outsiders), but good rules make good capitalists.
</p>
<p>
	Consider a sports analogy: In 1982, three other men and I founded the 3,000-mile nonstop transcontinental bicycle Race Across America (RAAM) from L.A. to New York, sponsored by Budweiser and televised on ABC’s <em>Wide World of Sports</em>. The rules were simple: each cyclist takes the same route, has a support vehicle and crew that follows behind providing food, drink, and equipment, and no drafting behind or hanging onto a vehicle is allowed. The race started on the Santa Monica Pier in California. The first cyclist to reach the Empire State Building in New York City would be declared the winner. That was the entire set of rules, which we didn’t even bother to write down. <span id="more-7953"></span>
</p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/raamlogo-300x97.gif" alt="" title="logo" width="300" height="97" class="alignright size-full wp-image-7955" /></p>
<p>
	All four of us finished the race and the next year dozens of cyclists wanted to compete so we began to outline some rules. During that first race, for example, it wasn’t clear what to do with a rider who went off course—can he get a ride in his support vehicle back to the route where he left it? (yes), can he be driven up the route the same distance he rode off course? (no). Although no drafting was allowed, it is often windy out on the open plains, and if there is a cross-wind from your left when your support vehicle comes alongside to hand off water bottles and food, there is a noticeable drafting effect. Not to mention that ten days is a long time to ride by yourself, so it is psychologically advantageous to have your support crew to talk to for long stretches. So we had to draft extensive rules defining how long a handoff can last (one minute), how many times an hour (four), with room for exceptions to the rule, such as if the temperature exceeds 100 degrees, in which case the number of handoffs is unrestricted.
</p>
<div id="attachment_7956" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/haldeman1982.jpg" alt="" title="haldeman1982" width="300" height="235" class="size-full wp-image-7956" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Lon Haldeman &#038; Jim Lampley, Empire State Building, 1982</p></div>
<p>
	Once you start writing down what people can and cannot do, the list grows exponentially. As the years moved on and the race grew in popularity, the rulebook expanded with it. Women entered in 1984, so we added rules about gender divisions. Cyclists over 50 and 60 years of age wanted to race, so we added rules about age divisions. Four-man relay teams entered in 1989, so we created a new set of rules just for them, that subsequently had to be expanded to encompass two-person relay teams, men-and-women relay teams, age division relay teams, and even corporate relay teams. Every year something would happen that led to more rules. In the 1989 race one of the competitors was riding slowly up the long grade of Oak Creek Canyon from Sedonna to Flagstaff, Arizona, with his two vans and motorhome all caravanning behind him, preventing cars from safely passing. This went on for miles until someone called the police, but by the time the officers arrived they could only find the next rider back, whom they stopped on the side of the road, thereby disrupting his pace and costing him time, which we had to subtract from his overall finishing time. Another year, also in Arizona, we had a similar problem on a busy stretch of Highway 89, after which someone called the Arizona Department of Transportation to complain, resulting in a post-race ruling by the DOT that RAAM could only pass through Arizona during the day. As this would have obviated the nonstop nature of the race, I had to negotiate a deal with the Arizona DOT with a proviso in the rules that read: “The Follow Vehicle may not impede following traffic for more than one minute. The Follow Vehicle must pull off the road and let traffic pass when five or more vehicles are waiting to pass regardless of time. During the day the rider may proceed alone, with the Follow Vehicle catching up once traffic is clear. At night the rider must also pull off the road.”
</p>
<div id="attachment_7958" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 220px"><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/shermer_gabr-210x300.jpg" alt="" title="Shermer, 1982" width="210" height="300" class="size-full wp-image-7958" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Shermer, 1982, listening on Sony Walkman (pre iPod)</p></div>
<p>
	One especially hot year one of the RAAM riders happened upon a small hotel pool while passing through a diminutive Western town, so he dismounted his bike and leaped into the pool, fully attired in cycling clothes, shoes, gloves, and helmet. Someone called the police, and once again by the time they arrived the pool perpetrator was gone, so they pulled over the next competitor that happened along, thereby disrupting his pace. This led to yet another rule, this one prohibiting competitors from swimming in public pools without permission from the owner. Most of the racers enjoy listening to music, either from small earbud phones or from speakers mounted on the roof of their following vehicle, which led to two additional problems: one, blasting music through tiny earphones jammed in your ears makes it difficult to hear oncoming traffic, ambulances, and the like; two, passing through small towns in the middle of the night blasting rock-n-roll music from loudspeakers tends to awaken the locals. Thus, two new rules were added, one restricting the use of only one earphone and the other curtailing the broadcasting of music during hours of darkness.
</p>
<p><img src="http://skepticblog.org/wp-content/uploads/shermer_director-300x241.jpg" alt="" title="Shermer" width="300" height="241" class="alignright size-full wp-image-7960" /></p>
<p>
	All of these new rules, of course, require the addition of appropriate punishments for violations, which we assessed in time penalties. However, an exhausted cyclist who is forced by an official to take time off the bike in the middle of the race may actually benefit from the penalty, so we had to write even more rules about where and when the penalties would be served, which we determined would be in a penalty “box” ten miles from the finish line (and, yes, we have had cyclists passed by competitors while sitting there on the side of the road). More rules and penalties mean more officials needed to assess them, and therefore more potential for subjective misjudgments on the part of officials (who are often sleep-deprived and exhausted themselves), so we had to add yet another set of rules that allow the cyclists to challenge the officials’ assessed penalties, and a set of guidelines for the Race Director to make a final evaluation before the end of the race if such a challenge is made, as well as a post-race board to hear one final appeal by the athlete if he or she feels that both the official and the Race Director made the wrong decision. Finally, we created a nonprofit governing body—the Ultra-Marathon Cycling Association (UMCA)—to oversee the entire sport, including and especially the development and adjudication of the rules.
</p>
<p>
	The structure and development of this sporting event and the rules that govern it—as quotidian an example as it is—serves as an analogue for society at large. In its simplicity, sports can help clarify and illuminate the evolution and operations of more complex and nuanced social institutions. Just as good rules make good competitors, good walls make good neighbors and good laws make good citizens. People naturally want what is best for themselves, but most people also want what is fair for others. Without a structure in place to create and enforce firm and fair rules to meet both of these needs, people become more self-centered than other-centered, and if you go far enough down that path it degenerates into Hobbes’ <em>bellum omnium contra omnes,</em> “the war of all against all.”
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<p>
	Now, my libertarian friends, don’t panic thinking I’ve gone soft in the head liberal about creating obsessive government regulations in the economy. <a href="http://trueslant.com/michaelshermer/2010/04/27/the-constitution-of-man-dictates-the-constitutions-of-men-part-2-of-the-rules-of-capitalism-series/">In this post</a> I’ll demonstrate how industries naturally create their own set of rules from the bottom-up, and that these can serve as useful guidelines for top-down regulators.</p>
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